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您的位置:  汽车财经 > 工程机械研报 > Zoomlion Alert-1H16profit warning of net loss of Rmb800-870m:worse than expected

Zoomlion Alert-1H16profit warning of net loss of Rmb800-870m:worse than expected

 来源: 中国汽车咨询中心网

Profit warning indicates big loss in peak season (2Q) - worse than expected

Zoomlion released a profit warning on 14 July, in which management guided that net loss in 1H16 was Rmb800-870m (vs. net loss of Rmb310m in 1H15). This suggests a net loss of Rmb140-210m in 2Q16 (vs. +Rmb74m in 2Q15), narrowing from -Rmb660m in 1Q16. The company attributes the big loss to weak demand for construction machinery, effect of the transformation of the regional marketing model in the construction machinery sector, compensation for laid-off employees, and fluctuation in F/X rates.Ͼ Ǯţţ ֳ pcͼ pcԤ pc28app ¼28app ô28 28 pc28app pcͼ 888 ȫѶ ţţ ȫѶ 888 xy28ԤpcAPP pcAPPPC28Ԥ 28Ԥwww.pc28iapp.com www.pc28aapp.com

Demand outlook for rest of 2016 remains challenging

Based on management guidance, sales volume of construction machinery products (including crane machinery and concrete machinery) slumped more than 20% yoy in 1H16. We think demand will continue to be sluggish in 2016, due to: 1) continued weak mining investment, and 2) potential slowdown in property investment. Our macro team expects property investment to slow down in 2H. In addition, new equipment demand could be hit by the strong demand for second-hand machinery, given the latter’s attractive price-to-quality ratio.

Healthy growth in non-construction machinery segment; improved OCFaipcdd.com

According to the announcement, Zoomlion said the non-construction machinery segment (agriculture machinery and environment industry) achieved a healthy growth in revenue in 1H16. It also saw significant improvement in operating cash flow.pcԤ

Profit warning may hurt share price, but we maintain Hold

We believe the 1H16 profit warning may hurt the sector’s sentiment and Zoomlion’s share price in the near term. Based on this announcement, we see downside risk to our earnings estimates (Rmb16.8m) for 2016. The construction machinery segment continues to face a challenging outlook, but this could be partly offset by promising growth in non-construction machinery. In addition, the company’s operating cash flow and asset quality may improve further with effective risk control. To conclude, we believe that downside for the share price is limited and we maintain our Hold rating. ˼Ծ Ⱥ

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