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您的位置:  汽车财经 > 工程机械研报 > Zoomlion Heavy Industry:Hold,1H16profit warning

Zoomlion Heavy Industry:Hold,1H16profit warning

 来源: 中国汽车咨询中心网

The company issued a profit warning for 1H16; 2Q16 net losswould be in the range of RMB140-210m

Idle concrete machinery, staff redundancy costs and RMBdepreciation were the main causesϾ Ǯţţ ֳ pcͼ pcԤ pc28app ¼28app ô28 28 pc28app pcͼ 888 ȫѶ ţţ ȫѶ 888 xy28ԤpcAPP pcAPPPC28Ԥ 28Ԥwww.pc28iapp.com www.pc28aapp.com

Maintain Hold; no change to TP and earnings

Yet another weak quarter: After the market close today, the company issued a profitwarning for 1H16 which would see a net loss of RMB800-870m. This implies a 2Q16net loss of RMB140-210m. Similar to 1Q16, staff redundancy costs and depreciationof RMB against USD and EUR still had negative effects in 2Q16. While infrastructureand property construction activity both recovered in 1H16, the significant idle installedcapacity for concrete machinery (26% of FY16 revenue) held back demand for newunit sales. The company noted an improvement in operating cash flow versus 1H15,but we are sceptical that it could be positive in 1H16 given the weak sales.

Volatile earnings in 2016: We think the company's quarterly earnings in 2016 couldbe volatile. A government subsidy related to agriculture machinery sales (which makeup about 40% of our FY16 estimated sales) could potentially help the company's2H16 earnings.aipcdd.com

Key upside risks: strengthening Chinese property and infrastructure constructionactivity. Key downside risks: potential write-off of overdue finance lease receivable;depreciation of RMB/USD could hurt its balance sheet due to large USD-denominatedborrowing.pcԤ

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